Tactical voting guide · South West

Bristol North East

Winnable if the right unites

Our Recommendation

Vote Reform UK

The right-of-centre vote in Bristol North East is split. Together the right-of-centre parties out-poll Labour — uniting behind Reform UK wins the seat.

Projected vote share

Projected winner: Labour. Right-of-centre parties combined: 37.1%.

90.1%

of Conservative and Restore Britain voters switching to Reform UK would be enough to win it — around 9 in 10.

Labour 35.3%
Green 21.6%
Reform UK recommended 18.5%
Conservative 13.6%
Restore Britain 5.0%
Liberal Democrat 4.2%
Other 1.9%

The 2024 general election in Bristol North East

Labour won Bristol North East in 2024 with 45.3% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 14.8% and Reform UK 12.9%.

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Nearby constituencies

Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.