Tactical voting guide · South East

North West Hampshire

Right-of-centre win projected

Our Recommendation

Vote Conservative

Conservative is the strongest right-of-centre party in North West Hampshire and is on course to win. Back them to secure the seat.

Projected vote share

Projected winner: Conservative. Right-of-centre parties combined: 61.3%.

Conservative recommended 35.3%
Reform UK 22.2%
Labour 20.3%
Liberal Democrat 10.7%
Green 6.9%
Restore Britain 3.7%
Other 0.7%

The 2024 general election in North West Hampshire

Conservative won North West Hampshire in 2024 with 35.0% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 35.0% and Reform UK 15.2%.

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Nearby constituencies

Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.