Our Recommendation
Vote Reform UK
Reform UK is the strongest right-of-centre party in Torfaen and is on course to win. Back them to secure the seat.
Projected vote share
Projected winner: Reform UK. Right-of-centre parties combined: 48.8%.
The 2024 general election in Torfaen
Labour won Torfaen in 2024 with 42.5% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 16.1% and Reform UK 22.0%.
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Registered at two addresses? Compare Torfaen with your other seat.
Nearby constituencies
- Blaenau Gwent and Rhymney Reform UK
- Forest of Dean Conservative
- Gloucester Reform UK
- Hereford and South Herefordshire Conservative
- Merthyr Tydfil and Aberdare Reform UK
- Wyre Forest Conservative
- Brecon, Radnor and Cwm Tawe Reform UK
- Caerfyrddin Reform UK
- Caerphilly Reform UK
- Ceredigion Preseli Reform UK
- Cheltenham Conservative
- Halesowen Reform UK
Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.