Tactical voting guide · Wales

Torfaen

Right-of-centre win projected

Our Recommendation

Vote Reform UK

Reform UK is the strongest right-of-centre party in Torfaen and is on course to win. Back them to secure the seat.

Projected vote share

Projected winner: Reform UK. Right-of-centre parties combined: 48.8%.

Reform UK recommended 32.8%
Labour 24.3%
Plaid Cymru 14.4%
Conservative 12.0%
Green 5.6%
Liberal Democrat 4.3%
Restore Britain 4.0%
Other 2.6%

The 2024 general election in Torfaen

Labour won Torfaen in 2024 with 42.5% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 16.1% and Reform UK 22.0%.

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Nearby constituencies

Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.