Tactical voting guide · South West

Swindon South

Winnable if the right unites

Our Recommendation

Vote Conservative

The right-of-centre vote in Swindon South is split. Together the right-of-centre parties out-poll Labour — uniting behind Conservative wins the seat.

Projected vote share

Projected winner: Labour. Right-of-centre parties combined: 50.8%.

43.3%

of Reform UK and Restore Britain voters switching to Conservative would be enough to win it — around 2 in 5.

Labour 35.3%
Conservative recommended 23.5%
Reform UK 23.1%
Green 8.9%
Liberal Democrat 4.3%
Restore Britain 4.2%
Other 0.7%

The 2024 general election in Swindon South

Labour won Swindon South in 2024 with 48.4% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 26.9% and Reform UK 13.8%.

Spread the word

Nearby constituencies

Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.