Our Recommendation
Vote Conservative
The right-of-centre vote in Warwick and Leamington is split. Together the right-of-centre parties out-poll Labour — uniting behind Conservative wins the seat.
Projected vote share
Projected winner: Labour. Right-of-centre parties combined: 39.0%.
of Reform UK and Restore Britain voters switching to Conservative would be enough to win it — around 9 in 10.
The 2024 general election in Warwick and Leamington
Labour won Warwick and Leamington in 2024 with 48.7% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 23.5% and Reform UK 10.5%.
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Registered at two addresses? Compare Warwick and Leamington with your other seat.
Nearby constituencies
- Birmingham Northfield Reform UK
- Earley and Woodley Conservative
- Reading West and Mid Berkshire Conservative
- Solihull West and Shirley Conservative
- Stratford-on-Avon Conservative
- Witney Conservative
- Beaconsfield Conservative
- Birmingham Edgbaston Reform UK
- Birmingham Selly Oak Reform UK
- Droitwich and Evesham Conservative
- Kenilworth and Southam Conservative
- Maidenhead Conservative
Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.