Tactical voting guide · West Midlands

Stratford-on-Avon

Winnable if the right unites

Our Recommendation

Vote Conservative

The right-of-centre vote in Stratford-on-Avon is split. Together the right-of-centre parties out-poll Liberal Democrat — uniting behind Conservative wins the seat.

Projected vote share

Projected winner: Liberal Democrat. Right-of-centre parties combined: 47.7%.

73.3%

of Reform UK and Restore Britain voters switching to Conservative would be enough to win it — around 3 in 4.

Liberal Democrat 41.8%
Conservative recommended 25.5%
Reform UK 19.4%
Labour 5.2%
Green 4.7%
Restore Britain 2.8%
Other 0.6%

The 2024 general election in Stratford-on-Avon

Liberal Democrat won Stratford-on-Avon in 2024 with 44.3% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 30.8% and Reform UK 14.6%. Together the right-of-centre parties took 45.5% — more than the winner — and still lost the seat.

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Nearby constituencies

Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.