Tactical voting guide · South West

North East Somerset and Hanham

Winnable if the right unites

Our Recommendation

Vote Conservative

The right-of-centre vote in North East Somerset and Hanham is split. Together the right-of-centre parties out-poll Labour — uniting behind Conservative wins the seat.

Projected vote share

Projected winner: Labour. Right-of-centre parties combined: 53.8%.

11.9%

of Reform UK and Restore Britain voters switching to Conservative would be enough to win it — around 1 in 8.

Labour 30.3%
Conservative recommended 27.2%
Reform UK 22.7%
Green 8.2%
Liberal Democrat 6.9%
Restore Britain 4.0%
Other 0.7%

The 2024 general election in North East Somerset and Hanham

Labour won North East Somerset and Hanham in 2024 with 40.6% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 30.2% and Reform UK 14.5%. Together the right-of-centre parties took 44.7% — more than the winner — and still lost the seat.

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Nearby constituencies

Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.