Tactical voting guide · South West

South Cotswolds

Winnable if the right unites

Our Recommendation

Vote Conservative

The right-of-centre vote in South Cotswolds is split. Together the right-of-centre parties out-poll Liberal Democrat — uniting behind Conservative wins the seat.

Projected vote share

Projected winner: Liberal Democrat. Right-of-centre parties combined: 46.5%.

86.6%

of Reform UK and Restore Britain voters switching to Conservative would be enough to win it — around 9 in 10.

Liberal Democrat 44.1%
Conservative recommended 28.4%
Reform UK 15.4%
Labour 5.2%
Green 3.5%
Restore Britain 2.7%
Other 0.7%

The 2024 general election in South Cotswolds

Liberal Democrat won South Cotswolds in 2024 with 43.9% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 34.4% and Reform UK 9.8%. Together the right-of-centre parties took 44.2% — more than the winner — and still lost the seat.

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Nearby constituencies

Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.