Tactical voting guide · South West

Filton and Bradley Stoke

Winnable if the right unites

Our Recommendation

Vote Conservative

The right-of-centre vote in Filton and Bradley Stoke is split. Together the right-of-centre parties out-poll Labour — uniting behind Conservative wins the seat.

Projected vote share

Projected winner: Labour. Right-of-centre parties combined: 51.1%.

12.6%

of Reform UK and Restore Britain voters switching to Conservative would be enough to win it — around 1 in 8.

Labour 31.4%
Conservative recommended 28.6%
Reform UK 19.0%
Green 10.1%
Liberal Democrat 5.7%
Restore Britain 3.5%
Other 1.7%

The 2024 general election in Filton and Bradley Stoke

Labour won Filton and Bradley Stoke in 2024 with 45.5% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 25.6% and Reform UK 13.5%.

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Nearby constituencies

Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.