Our Recommendation
Vote Reform UK
The right-of-centre vote in Cardiff West is split. Together the right-of-centre parties out-poll Plaid Cymru — uniting behind Reform UK wins the seat.
Projected vote share
Projected winner: Plaid Cymru. Right-of-centre parties combined: 37.7%.
of Conservative and Restore Britain voters switching to Reform UK would be enough to win it — around 2 in 3.
The 2024 general election in Cardiff West
Labour won Cardiff West in 2024 with 36.7% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 15.3% and Reform UK 12.6%.
Spread the word
Registered at two addresses? Compare Cardiff West with your other seat.
Nearby constituencies
- Aberafan Maesteg Reform UK
- Bridgend Reform UK
- Cardiff East Reform UK
- Cardiff South and Penarth Reform UK
- Rhondda and Ogmore Reform UK
- Vale of Glamorgan Reform UK
- Cardiff North Reform UK
- Llanelli Reform UK
- Neath and Swansea East Reform UK
- Newport East Reform UK
- North Somerset Conservative
- Swansea West Reform UK
Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.