Tactical voting guide · West Midlands

Birmingham Edgbaston

Winnable if the right unites

Our Recommendation

Vote Reform UK

The right-of-centre vote in Birmingham Edgbaston is split. Together the right-of-centre parties out-poll Labour — uniting behind Reform UK wins the seat.

Projected vote share

Projected winner: Labour. Right-of-centre parties combined: 45.7%.

51.1%

of Conservative and Restore Britain voters switching to Reform UK would be enough to win it — around 1 in 2.

Labour 34.7%
Reform UK recommended 23.1%
Conservative 18.5%
Green 10.5%
Other 4.8%
Liberal Democrat 4.3%
Restore Britain 4.1%

The 2024 general election in Birmingham Edgbaston

Labour won Birmingham Edgbaston in 2024 with 44.3% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 22.0% and Reform UK 11.7%.

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Nearby constituencies

Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.