Tactical voting guide · Wales

Neath and Swansea East

Right-of-centre win projected

Our Recommendation

Vote Reform UK

Reform UK is the strongest right-of-centre party in Neath and Swansea East and is on course to win. Back them to secure the seat.

Projected vote share

Projected winner: Reform UK. Right-of-centre parties combined: 43.0%.

Reform UK recommended 30.7%
Labour 24.1%
Plaid Cymru 21.0%
Conservative 8.5%
Green 5.3%
Liberal Democrat 5.0%
Restore Britain 3.8%
Other 1.5%

The 2024 general election in Neath and Swansea East

Labour won Neath and Swansea East in 2024 with 41.8% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 9.4% and Reform UK 25.3%.

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Nearby constituencies

Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.