Tactical voting guide · South West

Tewkesbury

Winnable if the right unites

Our Recommendation

Vote Conservative

The right-of-centre vote in Tewkesbury is split. Together the right-of-centre parties out-poll Liberal Democrat — uniting behind Conservative wins the seat.

Projected vote share

Projected winner: Liberal Democrat. Right-of-centre parties combined: 43.5%.

91.6%

of Reform UK and Restore Britain voters switching to Conservative would be enough to win it — around 9 in 10.

Liberal Democrat 41.7%
Conservative recommended 23.0%
Reform UK 17.4%
Green 7.7%
Labour 6.6%
Restore Britain 3.1%

The 2024 general election in Tewkesbury

Liberal Democrat won Tewkesbury in 2024 with 42.7% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 29.8% and Reform UK 12.4%.

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Nearby constituencies

Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.