Our Recommendation
Vote Reform UK
The right-of-centre vote in Gloucester is split. Together the right-of-centre parties out-poll Labour — uniting behind Reform UK wins the seat.
Projected vote share
Projected winner: Labour. Right-of-centre parties combined: 55.4%.
of Conservative and Restore Britain voters switching to Reform UK would be enough to win it — around 1 in 40.
The 2024 general election in Gloucester
Labour won Gloucester in 2024 with 36.1% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 28.5% and Reform UK 16.0%. Together the right-of-centre parties took 44.5% — more than the winner — and still lost the seat.
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Registered at two addresses? Compare Gloucester with your other seat.
Nearby constituencies
- Cheltenham Conservative
- Forest of Dean Conservative
- Hereford and South Herefordshire Conservative
- Thornbury and Yate Conservative
- Torfaen Reform UK
- West Worcestershire Conservative
- Blaenau Gwent and Rhymney Reform UK
- Bristol North East Reform UK
- Caerphilly Reform UK
- Halesowen Reform UK
- Merthyr Tydfil and Aberdare Reform UK
- Monmouthshire Conservative
Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.