Our Recommendation
Vote Reform UK
The right-of-centre vote in Cardiff North is split. Together the right-of-centre parties out-poll Labour — uniting behind Reform UK wins the seat.
Projected vote share
Projected winner: Labour. Right-of-centre parties combined: 41.6%.
of Conservative and Restore Britain voters switching to Reform UK would be enough to win it — around 1 in 17.
The 2024 general election in Cardiff North
Labour won Cardiff North in 2024 with 43.9% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 20.3% and Reform UK 12.6%.
Spread the word
Registered at two addresses? Compare Cardiff North with your other seat.
Nearby constituencies
- Cardiff East Reform UK
- Neath and Swansea East Reform UK
- Newport East Reform UK
- Newport West and Islwyn Reform UK
- Pontypridd Reform UK
- Rhondda and Ogmore Reform UK
- Aberafan Maesteg Reform UK
- Bristol North West Reform UK
- Caerphilly Reform UK
- Cardiff South and Penarth Reform UK
- Cardiff West Reform UK
- Ceredigion Preseli Reform UK
Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.