Tactical voting guide · Wales

Vale of Glamorgan

Right-of-centre win projected

Our Recommendation

Vote Reform UK

Reform UK is the strongest right-of-centre party in Vale of Glamorgan and is on course to win. Back them to secure the seat.

Projected vote share

Projected winner: Reform UK. Right-of-centre parties combined: 52.7%.

Reform UK recommended 27.5%
Conservative 22.7%
Labour 21.2%
Plaid Cymru 16.0%
Green 4.7%
Liberal Democrat 3.5%
Restore Britain 2.5%
Other 1.9%

The 2024 general election in Vale of Glamorgan

Labour won Vale of Glamorgan in 2024 with 38.7% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 29.5% and Reform UK 15.2%. Together the right-of-centre parties took 44.7% — more than the winner — and still lost the seat.

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Nearby constituencies

Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.