Tactical voting guide · West Midlands

Birmingham Northfield

Right-of-centre win projected

Our Recommendation

Vote Reform UK

Reform UK is the strongest right-of-centre party in Birmingham Northfield and is on course to win. Back them to secure the seat.

Projected vote share

Projected winner: Reform UK. Right-of-centre parties combined: 61.0%.

Reform UK recommended 40.7%
Labour 26.4%
Conservative 16.0%
Green 8.5%
Restore Britain 4.2%
Liberal Democrat 2.8%
Other 1.2%

The 2024 general election in Birmingham Northfield

Labour won Birmingham Northfield in 2024 with 39.6% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 25.3% and Reform UK 21.0%. Together the right-of-centre parties took 46.3% — more than the winner — and still lost the seat.

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Nearby constituencies

Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.