Tactical voting guide · West Midlands

North Herefordshire

Winnable if the right unites

Our Recommendation

Vote Conservative

The right-of-centre vote in North Herefordshire is split. Together the right-of-centre parties out-poll Green — uniting behind Conservative wins the seat.

Projected vote share

Projected winner: Green. Right-of-centre parties combined: 50.6%.

52.0%

of Reform UK and Restore Britain voters switching to Conservative would be enough to win it — around 1 in 2.

Green 38.9%
Conservative recommended 26.2%
Reform UK 21.0%
Labour 6.9%
Restore Britain 3.4%
Liberal Democrat 3.3%

The 2024 general election in North Herefordshire

Green won North Herefordshire in 2024 with 43.2% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 31.5% and Reform UK 16.0%. Together the right-of-centre parties took 47.4% — more than the winner — and still lost the seat.

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Nearby constituencies

Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.