Our Recommendation
Vote Conservative
The right-of-centre vote in Newbury is split. Together the right-of-centre parties out-poll Liberal Democrat — uniting behind Conservative wins the seat.
Projected vote share
Projected winner: Liberal Democrat. Right-of-centre parties combined: 44.9%.
of Reform UK and Restore Britain voters switching to Conservative would be enough to win it — nearly all.
The 2024 general election in Newbury
Liberal Democrat won Newbury in 2024 with 40.1% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 35.3% and Reform UK 10.9%. Together the right-of-centre parties took 46.2% — more than the winner — and still lost the seat.
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Nearby constituencies
- Didcot and Wantage Conservative
- Droitwich and Evesham Conservative
- North Cotswolds Conservative
- Reading Central Conservative
- Tewkesbury Conservative
- Wokingham Conservative
- Basingstoke Conservative
- Bracknell Conservative
- Cheltenham Conservative
- North East Hampshire Conservative
- North West Hampshire Conservative
- Reading West and Mid Berkshire Conservative
Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.