Tactical voting guide · Wales

Rhondda and Ogmore

Right-of-centre win projected

Our Recommendation

Vote Reform UK

Reform UK is the strongest right-of-centre party in Rhondda and Ogmore and is on course to win. Back them to secure the seat.

Projected vote share

Projected winner: Reform UK. Right-of-centre parties combined: 39.9%.

Reform UK recommended 31.0%
Plaid Cymru 26.5%
Labour 24.3%
Conservative 5.4%
Green 5.3%
Restore Britain 3.5%
Liberal Democrat 2.5%
Other 1.5%

The 2024 general election in Rhondda and Ogmore

Labour won Rhondda and Ogmore in 2024 with 47.8% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 5.7% and Reform UK 26.1%.

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Nearby constituencies

Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.