Our Recommendation
Vote Reform UK
The right-of-centre vote in Smethwick is split. Together the right-of-centre parties out-poll Labour — uniting behind Reform UK wins the seat.
Projected vote share
Projected winner: Labour. Right-of-centre parties combined: 48.6%.
of Conservative and Restore Britain voters switching to Reform UK would be enough to win it — around 1 in 17.
The 2024 general election in Smethwick
Labour won Smethwick in 2024 with 48.0% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 12.9% and Reform UK 16.1%.
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Registered at two addresses? Compare Smethwick with your other seat.
Nearby constituencies
- Birmingham Edgbaston Reform UK
- Birmingham Ladywood Reform UK
- Birmingham Perry Barr Reform UK
- Birmingham Selly Oak Reform UK
- Tipton and Wednesbury Reform UK
- West Bromwich Reform UK
- Birmingham Erdington Reform UK
- Birmingham Hall Green and Moseley Reform UK
- Birmingham Northfield Reform UK
- Bromsgrove Conservative
- Dudley Reform UK
- Kingswinford and South Staffordshire Conservative
Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.