Tactical voting guide · South West

North Somerset

Right-of-centre win projected

Our Recommendation

Vote Conservative

Conservative is the strongest right-of-centre party in North Somerset and is on course to win. Back them to secure the seat.

Projected vote share

Projected winner: Conservative. Right-of-centre parties combined: 50.3%.

Conservative recommended 29.3%
Labour 27.4%
Reform UK 17.6%
Green 11.9%
Liberal Democrat 9.9%
Restore Britain 3.5%

The 2024 general election in North Somerset

Labour won North Somerset in 2024 with 35.6% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 34.4% and Reform UK 10.4%. Together the right-of-centre parties took 44.8% — more than the winner — and still lost the seat.

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Nearby constituencies

Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.