Tactical voting guide · South West

Stroud

Winnable if the right unites

Our Recommendation

Vote Conservative

The right-of-centre vote in Stroud is split. Together the right-of-centre parties out-poll Labour — uniting behind Conservative wins the seat.

Projected vote share

Projected winner: Labour. Right-of-centre parties combined: 41.6%.

65.1%

of Reform UK and Restore Britain voters switching to Conservative would be enough to win it — around 2 in 3.

Labour 34.3%
Conservative recommended 20.5%
Green 19.0%
Reform UK 17.4%
Liberal Democrat 4.5%
Restore Britain 3.7%
Other 0.6%

The 2024 general election in Stroud

Labour won Stroud in 2024 with 46.4% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 25.7% and Reform UK 11.5%.

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Nearby constituencies

Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.