Our Recommendation
Vote Conservative
Conservative is the strongest right-of-centre party in Monmouthshire and is on course to win. Back them to secure the seat.
Projected vote share
Projected winner: Conservative. Right-of-centre parties combined: 57.6%.
The 2024 general election in Monmouthshire
Labour won Monmouthshire in 2024 with 41.3% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 34.8% and Reform UK 10.7%. Together the right-of-centre parties took 45.5% — more than the winner — and still lost the seat.
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Registered at two addresses? Compare Monmouthshire with your other seat.
Nearby constituencies
- Bristol North East Reform UK
- Caerphilly Reform UK
- Filton and Bradley Stoke Conservative
- Forest of Dean Conservative
- Newport West and Islwyn Reform UK
- Thornbury and Yate Conservative
- Bristol Central Conservative
- Bristol East Reform UK
- Bristol North West Reform UK
- Cardiff North Reform UK
- Ceredigion Preseli Reform UK
- Cheltenham Conservative
Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.