Tactical voting guide · South West

Melksham and Devizes

Winnable if the right unites

Our Recommendation

Vote Conservative

The right-of-centre vote in Melksham and Devizes is split. Together the right-of-centre parties out-poll Liberal Democrat — uniting behind Conservative wins the seat.

Projected vote share

Projected winner: Liberal Democrat. Right-of-centre parties combined: 50.1%.

39.2%

of Reform UK and Restore Britain voters switching to Conservative would be enough to win it — around 2 in 5.

Liberal Democrat 36.9%
Conservative recommended 28.5%
Reform UK 18.7%
Labour 6.6%
Green 4.8%
Restore Britain 3.0%
Other 1.5%

The 2024 general election in Melksham and Devizes

Liberal Democrat won Melksham and Devizes in 2024 with 39.1% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 34.4% and Reform UK 13.1%. Together the right-of-centre parties took 47.6% — more than the winner — and still lost the seat.

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Nearby constituencies

Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.