Tactical voting guide · South West

Bristol South

Winnable if the right unites

Our Recommendation

Vote Reform UK

The right-of-centre vote in Bristol South is split. Together the right-of-centre parties out-poll Labour — uniting behind Reform UK wins the seat.

Projected vote share

Projected winner: Labour. Right-of-centre parties combined: 34.3%.

96.1%

of Conservative and Restore Britain voters switching to Reform UK would be enough to win it — nearly all.

Labour 33.7%
Green 26.7%
Reform UK recommended 18.8%
Conservative 11.3%
Liberal Democrat 4.7%
Restore Britain 4.3%
Other 0.6%

The 2024 general election in Bristol South

Labour won Bristol South in 2024 with 42.7% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 11.4% and Reform UK 14.3%.

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Nearby constituencies

Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.