How to vote tactically in Newport West and Islwyn — back Reform UK

Our Recommendation

Vote Reform UK

Reform UK is the strongest right-of-centre party in Newport West and Islwyn and is on course to win. Back them to secure the seat.

Projected vote share

Projected winner: Reform UK. Right-of-centre parties combined: 46.9%.

Reform UK recommended 30.1%

Labour 24.1%

Plaid Cymru 15.5%

Conservative 13.7%

Green 6.0%

Liberal Democrat 4.2%

Other 3.4%

Restore Britain 3.2%

The 2024 general election in Newport West and Islwyn

Labour won Newport West and Islwyn in 2024 with 41.5% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 16.0% and Reform UK 20.4%.

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Registered at two addresses? Compare Newport West and Islwyn with your other seat.

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Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.