Tactical voting guide · South West

North Cotswolds

Right-of-centre win projected

Our Recommendation

Vote Conservative

Conservative is the strongest right-of-centre party in North Cotswolds and is on course to win. Back them to secure the seat.

Projected vote share

Projected winner: Conservative. Right-of-centre parties combined: 52.0%.

Conservative recommended 31.1%
Liberal Democrat 23.6%
Reform UK 17.9%
Green 13.1%
Labour 10.8%
Restore Britain 3.0%
Other 0.6%

The 2024 general election in North Cotswolds

Conservative won North Cotswolds in 2024 with 34.7% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 34.7% and Reform UK 12.9%.

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Nearby constituencies

Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.