Tactical voting guide · South East

North East Hampshire

Winnable if the right unites

Our Recommendation

Vote Conservative

The right-of-centre vote in North East Hampshire is split. Together the right-of-centre parties out-poll Liberal Democrat — uniting behind Conservative wins the seat.

Projected vote share

Projected winner: Liberal Democrat. Right-of-centre parties combined: 54.5%.

3.9%

of Reform UK and Restore Britain voters switching to Conservative would be enough to win it — around 1 in 25.

Liberal Democrat 32.5%
Conservative recommended 31.6%
Reform UK 19.5%
Labour 7.8%
Green 4.2%
Restore Britain 3.4%
Other 0.9%

The 2024 general election in North East Hampshire

Liberal Democrat won North East Hampshire in 2024 with 38.1% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 37.0% and Reform UK 12.0%. Together the right-of-centre parties took 49.0% — more than the winner — and still lost the seat.

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Nearby constituencies

Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.