Tactical voting guide · West Midlands

Birmingham Selly Oak

Winnable if the right unites

Our Recommendation

Vote Reform UK

The right-of-centre vote in Birmingham Selly Oak is split. Together the right-of-centre parties out-poll Labour — uniting behind Reform UK wins the seat.

Projected vote share

Projected winner: Labour. Right-of-centre parties combined: 35.1%.

79.2%

of Conservative and Restore Britain voters switching to Reform UK would be enough to win it — around 4 in 5.

Labour 31.9%
Green 25.4%
Reform UK recommended 19.7%
Conservative 11.5%
Liberal Democrat 4.2%
Restore Britain 4.0%
Other 3.3%

The 2024 general election in Birmingham Selly Oak

Labour won Birmingham Selly Oak in 2024 with 45.2% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 15.2% and Reform UK 14.9%.

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Nearby constituencies

Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.