How to vote tactically in Merthyr Tydfil and Aberdare — back Reform UK

Our Recommendation

Vote Reform UK

Reform UK is the strongest right-of-centre party in Merthyr Tydfil and Aberdare and is on course to win. Back them to secure the seat.

Projected vote share

Projected winner: Reform UK. Right-of-centre parties combined: 44.7%.

Reform UK recommended 34.6%

Plaid Cymru 23.2%

Labour 22.2%

Conservative 6.6%

Green 4.1%

Restore Britain 3.4%

Liberal Democrat 3.1%

Other 2.7%

The 2024 general election in Merthyr Tydfil and Aberdare

Labour won Merthyr Tydfil and Aberdare in 2024 with 44.8% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 7.6% and Reform UK 23.7%.

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Registered at two addresses? Compare Merthyr Tydfil and Aberdare with your other seat.

Nearby constituencies

Blaenau Gwent and Rhymney Reform UK
Caerphilly Reform UK
Ceredigion Preseli Reform UK
Forest of Dean Conservative
Torfaen Reform UK
Caerfyrddin Reform UK
Gloucester Reform UK
Hereford and South Herefordshire Conservative
Monmouthshire Conservative
Newport West and Islwyn Reform UK
Pontypridd Reform UK
Thornbury and Yate Conservative

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Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.