Our Recommendation
Vote Reform UK
The right-of-centre vote in Bournemouth West is split. Together the right-of-centre parties out-poll Labour — uniting behind Reform UK wins the seat.
Projected vote share
Projected winner: Labour. Right-of-centre parties combined: 53.4%.
of Conservative and Restore Britain voters switching to Reform UK would be enough to win it — around 1 in 90.
The 2024 general election in Bournemouth West
Labour won Bournemouth West in 2024 with 36.4% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 28.3% and Reform UK 16.9%. Together the right-of-centre parties took 45.1% — more than the winner — and still lost the seat.
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Nearby constituencies
- Bournemouth East Conservative
- Christchurch Conservative
- New Forest West Conservative
- North Dorset Conservative
- Salisbury Conservative
- South West Wiltshire Conservative
- Bath Conservative
- East Wiltshire Conservative
- Frome and East Somerset Conservative
- Melksham and Devizes Conservative
- New Forest East Conservative
- Poole Conservative
Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.