Our Recommendation
Vote Reform UK
Reform UK is the strongest right-of-centre party in Caerfyrddin. Concentrating the vote behind them gives the right its best chance.
Projected vote share
Projected winner: Plaid Cymru. Right-of-centre parties combined: 36.9%.
The 2024 general election in Caerfyrddin
Plaid Cymru won Caerfyrddin in 2024 with 34.0% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 19.4% and Reform UK 15.2%. Together the right-of-centre parties took 34.6% — more than the winner — and still lost the seat.
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Registered at two addresses? Compare Caerfyrddin with your other seat.
Nearby constituencies
- Blaenau Gwent and Rhymney Reform UK
- Brecon, Radnor and Cwm Tawe Reform UK
- Dwyfor Meirionnydd Reform UK
- Montgomeryshire and Glyndŵr Reform UK
- Wyre Forest Conservative
- Bangor Aberconwy Reform UK
- Clwyd East Reform UK
- Clwyd North Reform UK
- Halesowen Reform UK
- Hereford and South Herefordshire Conservative
- Merthyr Tydfil and Aberdare Reform UK
- South Shropshire Conservative
Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.