Tactical voting guide · West Midlands

Birmingham Erdington

Right-of-centre win projected

Our Recommendation

Vote Reform UK

Reform UK is the strongest right-of-centre party in Birmingham Erdington and is on course to win. Back them to secure the seat.

Projected vote share

Projected winner: Reform UK. Right-of-centre parties combined: 55.4%.

Reform UK recommended 35.8%
Labour 30.8%
Conservative 14.1%
Green 7.7%
Restore Britain 5.5%
Other 3.7%
Liberal Democrat 2.3%

The 2024 general election in Birmingham Erdington

Labour won Birmingham Erdington in 2024 with 43.3% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 15.8% and Reform UK 22.7%.

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Nearby constituencies

Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.