Tactical voting guide · South East

Southampton Test

Winnable if the right unites

Our Recommendation

Vote Reform UK

The right-of-centre vote in Southampton Test is split. Together the right-of-centre parties out-poll Labour — uniting behind Reform UK wins the seat.

Projected vote share

Projected winner: Labour. Right-of-centre parties combined: 42.5%.

52.0%

of Conservative and Restore Britain voters switching to Reform UK would be enough to win it — around 1 in 2.

Labour 32.8%
Reform UK recommended 22.3%
Green 15.7%
Conservative 15.7%
Liberal Democrat 7.1%
Restore Britain 4.6%
Other 1.9%

The 2024 general election in Southampton Test

Labour won Southampton Test in 2024 with 44.5% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 18.5% and Reform UK 14.7%.

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Nearby constituencies

Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.