Tactical voting guide · South East

Aldershot

Winnable if the right unites

Our Recommendation

Vote Reform UK

The right-of-centre vote in Aldershot is split. Together the right-of-centre parties out-poll Labour — uniting behind Reform UK wins the seat.

Projected vote share

Projected winner: Labour. Right-of-centre parties combined: 54.9%.

13.9%

of Conservative and Restore Britain voters switching to Reform UK would be enough to win it — around 1 in 7.

Labour 29.9%
Reform UK recommended 25.9%
Conservative 24.8%
Liberal Democrat 7.6%
Green 7.0%
Restore Britain 4.2%
Other 0.6%

The 2024 general election in Aldershot

Labour won Aldershot in 2024 with 40.7% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 29.0% and Reform UK 16.9%. Together the right-of-centre parties took 45.9% — more than the winner — and still lost the seat.

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Nearby constituencies

Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.