Our Recommendation
Vote Conservative
Conservative is the strongest right-of-centre party in Poole and is on course to win. Back them to secure the seat.
Projected vote share
Projected winner: Conservative. Right-of-centre parties combined: 58.3%.
The 2024 general election in Poole
Labour won Poole in 2024 with 31.8% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 31.8% and Reform UK 16.7%. Together the right-of-centre parties took 48.5% — more than the winner — and still lost the seat.
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Nearby constituencies
- Bournemouth East Conservative
- Mid Dorset and North Poole Conservative
- North Dorset Conservative
- South Dorset Reform UK
- Yeovil Reform UK
- Bournemouth West Reform UK
- Frome and East Somerset Conservative
- Glastonbury and Somerton Conservative
- Honiton and Sidmouth Conservative
- Isle of Wight West Reform UK
- New Forest West Conservative
- South West Wiltshire Conservative
Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.