Our Recommendation
Vote Reform UK
The right-of-centre vote in Newton Abbot is split. Together the right-of-centre parties out-poll Liberal Democrat — uniting behind Reform UK wins the seat.
Projected vote share
Projected winner: Liberal Democrat. Right-of-centre parties combined: 50.2%.
of Conservative and Restore Britain voters switching to Reform UK would be enough to win it — around 1 in 4.
The 2024 general election in Newton Abbot
Liberal Democrat won Newton Abbot in 2024 with 31.7% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 27.0% and Reform UK 17.7%. Together the right-of-centre parties took 44.7% — more than the winner — and still lost the seat.
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Nearby constituencies
- Central Devon Conservative
- Exmouth and Exeter East Conservative
- Plymouth Moor View Reform UK
- Plymouth Sutton and Devonport Reform UK
- Torbay Reform UK
- Torridge and Tavistock Conservative
- Exeter Reform UK
- Honiton and Sidmouth Conservative
- North Cornwall Reform UK
- North Devon Conservative
- South Devon Conservative
- South East Cornwall Reform UK
Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.