Tactical voting guide · South West

Exeter

Winnable if the right unites

Our Recommendation

Vote Reform UK

The right-of-centre vote in Exeter is split. Together the right-of-centre parties out-poll Labour — uniting behind Reform UK wins the seat.

Projected vote share

Projected winner: Labour. Right-of-centre parties combined: 34.6%.

92.6%

of Conservative and Restore Britain voters switching to Reform UK would be enough to win it — around 9 in 10.

Labour 33.4%
Green 23.2%
Reform UK recommended 18.1%
Conservative 12.5%
Liberal Democrat 7.8%
Restore Britain 3.9%
Other 1.0%

The 2024 general election in Exeter

Labour won Exeter in 2024 with 45.3% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 15.6% and Reform UK 12.2%.

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Nearby constituencies

Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.