Tactical voting guide · South West

South Dorset

Right-of-centre win projected

Our Recommendation

Vote Reform UK

Reform UK is the strongest right-of-centre party in South Dorset and is on course to win. Back them to secure the seat.

Projected vote share

Projected winner: Reform UK. Right-of-centre parties combined: 54.7%.

Reform UK recommended 25.1%
Conservative 24.4%
Labour 24.1%
Liberal Democrat 12.3%
Green 8.3%
Restore Britain 5.1%
Other 0.7%

The 2024 general election in South Dorset

Labour won South Dorset in 2024 with 31.9% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 29.8% and Reform UK 16.7%. Together the right-of-centre parties took 46.5% — more than the winner — and still lost the seat.

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Nearby constituencies

Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.