Tactical voting guide · South West

Bournemouth East

Winnable if the right unites

Our Recommendation

Vote Conservative

The right-of-centre vote in Bournemouth East is split. Together the right-of-centre parties out-poll Labour — uniting behind Conservative wins the seat.

Projected vote share

Projected winner: Labour. Right-of-centre parties combined: 50.4%.

22.1%

of Reform UK and Restore Britain voters switching to Conservative would be enough to win it — around 1 in 5.

Labour 30.2%
Conservative recommended 24.4%
Reform UK 21.5%
Green 11.4%
Liberal Democrat 6.4%
Restore Britain 4.5%
Other 1.7%

The 2024 general election in Bournemouth East

Labour won Bournemouth East in 2024 with 40.8% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 28.6% and Reform UK 14.0%. Together the right-of-centre parties took 42.5% — more than the winner — and still lost the seat.

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Nearby constituencies

Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.