Tactical voting guide · Wales

Aberafan Maesteg

Right-of-centre win projected

Our Recommendation

Vote Reform UK

Reform UK is the strongest right-of-centre party in Aberafan Maesteg and is on course to win. Back them to secure the seat.

Projected vote share

Projected winner: Reform UK. Right-of-centre parties combined: 40.0%.

Reform UK recommended 30.2%
Labour 26.7%
Plaid Cymru 24.9%
Conservative 6.5%
Green 3.7%
Restore Britain 3.4%
Liberal Democrat 2.6%
Other 2.1%

The 2024 general election in Aberafan Maesteg

Labour won Aberafan Maesteg in 2024 with 49.9% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 8.1% and Reform UK 20.9%.

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Nearby constituencies

Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.