Tactical voting guide · Wales

Swansea West

Right-of-centre win projected

Our Recommendation

Vote Reform UK

Reform UK is the strongest right-of-centre party in Swansea West and is on course to win. Back them to secure the seat.

Projected vote share

Projected winner: Reform UK. Right-of-centre parties combined: 36.4%.

Reform UK recommended 24.9%
Labour 23.8%
Plaid Cymru 21.9%
Liberal Democrat 9.8%
Conservative 7.6%
Green 7.0%
Restore Britain 3.9%
Other 1.1%

The 2024 general election in Swansea West

Labour won Swansea West in 2024 with 41.4% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 9.9% and Reform UK 17.5%.

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Nearby constituencies

Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.