Tactical voting guide · South East

Southampton Itchen

Right-of-centre win projected

Our Recommendation

Vote Reform UK

Reform UK is the strongest right-of-centre party in Southampton Itchen and is on course to win. Back them to secure the seat.

Projected vote share

Projected winner: Reform UK. Right-of-centre parties combined: 56.1%.

Reform UK recommended 33.9%
Labour 29.8%
Conservative 17.7%
Green 8.7%
Liberal Democrat 4.8%
Restore Britain 4.4%
Other 0.7%

The 2024 general election in Southampton Itchen

Labour won Southampton Itchen in 2024 with 41.5% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 25.4% and Reform UK 18.0%. Together the right-of-centre parties took 43.4% — more than the winner — and still lost the seat.

Spread the word

Nearby constituencies

Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.