Our Recommendation
Vote Reform UK
The right-of-centre vote in Birmingham Yardley is split. Together the right-of-centre parties out-poll Labour — uniting behind Reform UK wins the seat.
Projected vote share
Projected winner: Labour. Right-of-centre parties combined: 39.6%.
of Conservative and Restore Britain voters switching to Reform UK would be enough to win it — around 1 in 5.
The 2024 general election in Birmingham Yardley
Labour won Birmingham Yardley in 2024 with 31.2% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 10.1% and Reform UK 14.0%.
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Registered at two addresses? Compare Birmingham Yardley with your other seat.
Nearby constituencies
- Birmingham Hall Green and Moseley Reform UK
- Birmingham Hodge Hill and Solihull North Reform UK
- Coventry East Reform UK
- Coventry North West Reform UK
- North Warwickshire and Bedworth Reform UK
- Sutton Coldfield Conservative
- Aldridge-Brownhills Reform UK
- Banbury Conservative
- Birmingham Erdington Reform UK
- Birmingham Ladywood Reform UK
- Coventry South Conservative
- Kenilworth and Southam Conservative
Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.