Our Recommendation
Vote Conservative
The right-of-centre vote in Surrey Heath is split. Together the right-of-centre parties out-poll Liberal Democrat — uniting behind Conservative wins the seat.
Projected vote share
Projected winner: Liberal Democrat. Right-of-centre parties combined: 48.3%.
of Reform UK and Restore Britain voters switching to Conservative would be enough to win it — around 3 in 4.
The 2024 general election in Surrey Heath
Liberal Democrat won Surrey Heath in 2024 with 44.8% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 33.0% and Reform UK 13.1%. Together the right-of-centre parties took 46.0% — more than the winner — and still lost the seat.
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Registered at two addresses? Compare Surrey Heath with your other seat.
Nearby constituencies
- Bracknell Conservative
- Ealing Southall Conservative
- North East Hampshire Conservative
- Spelthorne Conservative
- Windsor Conservative
- Woking Conservative
- Aldershot Reform UK
- Basingstoke Conservative
- Beaconsfield Conservative
- Ealing Central and Acton Conservative
- Feltham and Heston Reform UK
- Hayes and Harlington Reform UK
Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.