Tactical voting guide · London

Hayes and Harlington

Winnable if the right unites

Our Recommendation

Vote Reform UK

The right-of-centre vote in Hayes and Harlington is split. Together the right-of-centre parties out-poll Labour — uniting behind Reform UK wins the seat.

Projected vote share

Projected winner: Labour. Right-of-centre parties combined: 45.8%.

66.8%

of Conservative and Restore Britain voters switching to Reform UK would be enough to win it — around 2 in 3.

Labour 37.9%
Reform UK recommended 22.1%
Conservative 20.6%
Green 8.0%
Liberal Democrat 5.2%
Other 3.1%
Restore Britain 3.1%

The 2024 general election in Hayes and Harlington

Labour won Hayes and Harlington in 2024 with 53.3% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 21.9% and Reform UK 10.7%.

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Nearby constituencies

Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.