Tactical voting guide · Wales

Bangor Aberconwy

Winnable if the right unites

Our Recommendation

Vote Reform UK

The right-of-centre vote in Bangor Aberconwy is split. Together the right-of-centre parties out-poll Plaid Cymru — uniting behind Reform UK wins the seat.

Projected vote share

Projected winner: Plaid Cymru. Right-of-centre parties combined: 43.0%.

24.2%

of Conservative and Restore Britain voters switching to Reform UK would be enough to win it — around 1 in 4.

Plaid Cymru 29.1%
Reform UK recommended 24.6%
Labour 19.0%
Conservative 14.8%
Green 4.2%
Restore Britain 3.6%
Liberal Democrat 3.5%
Other 1.2%

The 2024 general election in Bangor Aberconwy

Labour won Bangor Aberconwy in 2024 with 33.6% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 21.7% and Reform UK 14.6%. Together the right-of-centre parties took 36.3% — more than the winner — and still lost the seat.

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Nearby constituencies

Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.