Our Recommendation
Vote Reform UK
The right-of-centre vote in Torbay is split. Together the right-of-centre parties out-poll Liberal Democrat — uniting behind Reform UK wins the seat.
Projected vote share
Projected winner: Liberal Democrat. Right-of-centre parties combined: 52.3%.
of Conservative and Restore Britain voters switching to Reform UK would be enough to win it — around 1 in 2.
The 2024 general election in Torbay
Liberal Democrat won Torbay in 2024 with 41.1% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 29.5% and Reform UK 18.8%. Together the right-of-centre parties took 48.2% — more than the winner — and still lost the seat.
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Nearby constituencies
- Exmouth and Exeter East Conservative
- Newton Abbot Reform UK
- Plymouth Sutton and Devonport Reform UK
- South Devon Conservative
- Central Devon Conservative
- Exeter Reform UK
- Honiton and Sidmouth Conservative
- Plymouth Moor View Reform UK
- South East Cornwall Reform UK
- South West Devon Conservative
- Torridge and Tavistock Conservative
- West Dorset Conservative
Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.