Tactical voting guide · London

Ealing North

Winnable if the right unites

Our Recommendation

Vote Conservative

The right-of-centre vote in Ealing North is split. Together the right-of-centre parties out-poll Labour — uniting behind Conservative wins the seat.

Projected vote share

Projected winner: Labour. Right-of-centre parties combined: 40.4%.

81.6%

of Reform UK and Restore Britain voters switching to Conservative would be enough to win it — around 4 in 5.

Labour 36.6%
Conservative recommended 19.4%
Reform UK 17.9%
Green 10.4%
Liberal Democrat 7.9%
Other 4.8%
Restore Britain 3.1%

The 2024 general election in Ealing North

Labour won Ealing North in 2024 with 47.8% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 18.8% and Reform UK 9.1%.

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Nearby constituencies

Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.